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  • Florida Senate special, about 91% counted: Moody (R) 3,811,810, Nixon (D) 3,695,519. Not called.AP via NYT
  • Florida governor, about 91% counted: Jolly (D) 3,751,100, Donalds (R) 3,737,944. About 13,000 apart. Not called.AP via NYT
  • Kentucky Senate, about 33% counted: Barr (R) 299,034, Booker (D) 231,097. Fayette and Kenton not in yet. Not called.AP via NYT
  • Betting markets, 8:03 PM ET: Senate control, Democrats 91% / Republicans 8.7% on Kalshi, 92.5% / 8.5% on Polymarket, 93% / 7% on PredictIt. House: Democrats 97-98.7%.Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt
  • OH-09 swing race, about 10% counted: Merrin (R) 17,171, Kaptur (D) 15,777. Too early to call.AP via NYT
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ATTRIBUTED REPORTElections · Prediction Markets

Betting markets move to about 90% for Democratic Senate control

Published
At a glance: Prediction markets moved sharply toward Democrats for Senate control in the last 20 minutes. · Sources: Polymarket
ATTRIBUTED CLAIMS

Prediction markets moved sharply toward Democrats for Senate control in the last 20 minutes. At 7:48 PM ET, Kalshi had Democrats at 90% and Republicans at 10%; Polymarket had 90.5% / 10.5%; PredictIt's last trades were 92% / 9%. At 7:28 PM ET they were 80%, 80.5% and 88%.

House control: Kalshi Democrats 97% / Republicans 2.3%, Polymarket 98.5% / 1.7%, PredictIt 96% / 4%.

These are market prices, not results. No Senate seat has changed hands in the AP count so far.

SOURCES

UPDATES

  1. 31m ago

    Published.