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  • Florida Senate special, about 91% counted: Moody (R) 3,811,810, Nixon (D) 3,695,519. Not called.AP via NYT
  • Florida governor, about 91% counted: Jolly (D) 3,751,100, Donalds (R) 3,737,944. About 13,000 apart. Not called.AP via NYT
  • Kentucky Senate, about 33% counted: Barr (R) 299,034, Booker (D) 231,097. Fayette and Kenton not in yet. Not called.AP via NYT
  • Betting markets, 8:03 PM ET: Senate control, Democrats 91% / Republicans 8.7% on Kalshi, 92.5% / 8.5% on Polymarket, 93% / 7% on PredictIt. House: Democrats 97-98.7%.Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt
  • OH-09 swing race, about 10% counted: Merrin (R) 17,171, Kaptur (D) 15,777. Too early to call.AP via NYT
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ATTRIBUTED REPORTElections · Prediction Markets

Florida governor: bettors back Donalds at 83% while Jolly leads the early count

Published
At a glance: With about half of Florida's expected vote counted, Democrat David Jolly leads Republican Byron Donalds 2,216,425 to 1,989,289 (AP via NYT live results, 7:20… · Sources: Kalshi on X
ATTRIBUTED CLAIMS

With about half of Florida's expected vote counted, Democrat David Jolly leads Republican Byron Donalds 2,216,425 to 1,989,289 (AP via NYT live results, 7:20 PM ET). The first ballots counted are mostly early and mail votes; Election Day ballots, where registered Republicans led by about 591,000 at 6:51 PM, are still coming in.

Prediction markets moved toward Donalds once the count started. Polymarket had Donalds at 62.5% at 7:00 PM ET and 90% at 7:12; at 7:21 PM ET it stood at 83.5%. Kalshi said Donalds hit a record high on its market. The western Panhandle votes until 8 PM ET. No call.

SOURCES

UPDATES

  1. 57m ago

    Published.