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BETTING MARKETElections

What traders are pricing for control of Congress

Photo: U.S. Capitol / Wikimedia Commons, public domain

Published Nov 1 · 9:40 PM ET

Updated 2:31 AM ET

REPORT

As of about 2:30 AM ET Monday, Polymarket share prices implied a 94.5% chance Democrats win the House and a 72.5% chance they win the Senate. On Kalshi, Democratic House control traded at 93.6% and Senate control at 73%.

Senate odds edged up about a point overnight on both markets after the final New York Times/Siena polls showed Democrats ahead in seven battleground Senate races.

SOURCES

UPDATES

  1. 2:31 AM ET

    Updated with new developments.

  2. Nov 1 · 9:40 PM ET

    Published.